Lets hope the weather forecast is wrong…

This topic has 202 replies, 58 voices, and was last updated 10 years, 11 months ago by bobco85.

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May 12, 2014 at 8:38 pm #1000967

cyclingfool
Participant

@Terpfan 85046 wrote:

90 and sunny today and then it will be 65 and raining on Friday. I guess it’s better than snow…

I’m not so sure. Summer here sucks. 😡 This time of year I always start dreaming of living in the PNW.

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May 13, 2014 at 3:33 am #1000990

cvcalhoun
Participant

To be honest, 65 and raining sounds better to me than 90 and sunny. You can always wear rain gear, but there’s nothing much you can do about heat.

May 13, 2014 at 8:47 am #1000991

n18
Participant

Don’t worry. It’s going to be Saturday instead of Friday. Usually the forecast is wrong about when raining starts. It’s always later than they predict, it’s like the wind is slower. So if they say it will rain in 4 days, it would be 5 days, and if they say it will start raining in the morning, it would be late morning or afternoon. If you check the hourly forecast of the weather channel website repeatedly during a day that rain is expected, you will notice that as the time gets closer(like when PM showers are expected), the start hour gets pushed further.

Hopefully it gets pushed back to the overnight hours. Here is Friday forecast at the moment for the record:

Friday May 16:

Day:

Rain with a few rumbles of thunder. Potential for heavy rainfall. Highs in the upper 60s and lows in the low 50s.
High: 67°F
Chance of rain: 70%
Wind: NNW at 7 mph
Humidity: 63%

Night:

Partly Cloudy
Low: 51°
Chance of rain: 10%
Wind: NNW at 5 mph
Humidity: 71%

May 13, 2014 at 12:05 pm #1001000

skins_brew
Participant

Yea, I personally do not buy a forecast until I see it in person. Weather forecasters are notoriously wrong, but it looks like for something like this, it is hard to miss. I really need to get a rain jacket :p

May 13, 2014 at 12:19 pm #1001003

DanB
Participant

From BTWD website:
Bike to Work Day is a rain or shine event! All pit stops will be open regardless of the weather. It’s strongly encouraged to pack rain gear, just in case.

The bad part is there won’t be as many people participating; the good part is that there will be more swag for those of us who do ride. 😎

May 13, 2014 at 3:12 pm #1001029

rcannon100
Participant

Answer:

What if it rains?

Bike to Work Day is a rain or shine event! All pit stops will be open regardless of the weather. It’s strongly encouraged to pack rain gear, just in case.

May 13, 2014 at 3:13 pm #1001030

Terpfan
Participant

@DanB 85087 wrote:

The bad part is there won’t be as many people participating; the good part is that there will be more swag for those of us who do ride. 😎

Correct, I think we should get double swag if the numbers are down. I’m trying to score some maintenance coupons and maybe even get them to play some more with my ever so slightly bent derailleur.

As for weather, I prefer 90 and sunny to 65 and raining. I can hydrate and speed up to create a breeze, but I can’t really stay dry no matter what I try. Flip side I suppose is rainy days mean a deserted MVT, which i do prefer.

May 13, 2014 at 3:19 pm #1001032

jrenaut
Participant

I love riding in summer rain. I do not love going to Preakness in the rain, however, so I would selfishly prefer rain Friday.

May 13, 2014 at 3:22 pm #1001033

Phatboing
Participant

@cvcalhoun 85073 wrote:

To be honest, 65 and raining sounds better to me than 90 and sunny. You can always wear rain gear, but there’s nothing much you can do about heat.

A hundred times this. I’ve chickened out of riding more times in oppressive heat and humidity than in snow and ice.

(it helps that I grew up under the monsoons, so 65-ish and rain = home)

May 13, 2014 at 3:36 pm #1001035

mstone
Participant

I greatly prefer heat. Sweat in humidity may or may not evaporate, but sweat in rain gear definitely won’t and cold rain saps heat and gives you a chill while you’re still wet and clammy from sweating in the rain gear. I also worry about reduced visibility–I get a lot more nervous around cars when there’s a driving rain because I’m concerned about how well they can see (and at the same time they need more room to stop). And then there are the trails with poop floods…

So, overall, 50-60 degree thunderstorms on friday just sounds grim.

May 13, 2014 at 3:49 pm #1001038

creadinger
Participant

I don’t spend much time looking at the numerical models, but with it being a frontal passage, it could be a few hours of heavy rain, then clearing skies after it passes, as opposed to an all-day rain event. If it happens in the middle of the day, then commutes could be minimally affected.

BUT as several of you in this thread have already proclaimed superior expertise in weather predicting over meteorologists, I’m sure we’ll either get a hurricane, or a snowstorm.

May 13, 2014 at 3:52 pm #1001039

DismalScientist
Participant

@creadinger 85127 wrote:

I’m sure we’ll either get … a snowstorm.

Woohoo!

May 13, 2014 at 4:48 pm #1001057

Greenbelt
Participant

@creadinger 85127 wrote:

I don’t spend much time looking at the numerical models, but with it being a frontal passage, it could be a few hours of heavy rain, then clearing skies after it passes, as opposed to an all-day rain event. If it happens in the middle of the day, then commutes could be minimally affected.

BUT as several of you in this thread have already proclaimed superior expertise in weather predicting over meteorologists, I’m sure we’ll either get a hurricane, or a snowstorm.

12z GFS and NAM looks to me like a washout for the morning, but maybe dryer by evening.

May 13, 2014 at 4:49 pm #1001059

mstone
Participant

note that BTWD gear is also suitable for boat to work day

May 13, 2014 at 5:01 pm #1001064

vern
Participant

The NAM isn’t very reliable 3 days out, however, in this instance it does resemble the GFS (we may need a sub-forum for cyclist weather geeks).
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