Waymo simulation study shows hypothetical big reduction in fatal crashes

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  • #1114117
    peterw_diy
    Participant

    @mstone 210430 wrote:

    Unless someone programs in an ego, or tendency to start thinking about things other than driving, or a fear that driving defensively will make their reproductive organs smaller, autonomous vehicles have many advantages. Simply not speeding through residential neighborhoods would cut the death rate, even if they hit the same number of people.

    Unless folks offset the reduced lethality per mile by travelling more auto miles. Autonomous cars promise to remove the tedium of driving. Heading to the far side of the District at rush hour? Who cares if it takes two hours? Watch a movie, read a book, make some phone calls, nap, whatever you want. Let the climate control shield you from the unpleasant weather that your energy consumption is worsening, and rationalize your consumption by arguing that the car’s algorithm is a safe driver than you are.

    #1114119
    accordioneur
    Participant

    We accept way less than perfection from our human drivers. Upwards of 35,000 people die in car accidents every year in the U.S., and another 4.4 million people suffer serious enough injury to seek medical attention, and yet we haven’t prohibited the use of the automobile. Autonomous vehicles will be imperfect. They’ll just be imperfect in different ways than human drivers. Autonomous vehicles are not distracted by their phones or by their kids. They won’t nod off behind the wheel on long highway drives. With 360 degree sensors don’t miss seeing cars or bicyclists in their blind spots. An autonomous car would not forget to look before pulling out of a parking space and collide with a cyclist — an incident I experienced as a cyclist. However, autonomous vehicles will make mistakes, including some which would likely have been avoided by a human driver. I don’t demand perfection from self-driving cars; I’ll be comfortable as long as they drive better than the humans I see on the road, which is not that high a bar.

    Also, recognize that autonomy is a continuum. My current car has various blind-spot detectors, lane departure alert and correction features, and so on. We can keep making cars safer by adding more of these self-driving/driver-assist features in as the technology matures, even while they fall short of full autonomy.

    #1114128
    Smitty2k1
    Participant

    delete

    #1114385
    trailrunner
    Participant
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