Cool weather coming?

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  • October 1, 2012 at 6:44 pm #952615
    krazygl00
    Participant

    @Greenbelt 32607 wrote:

    As they say, all predictions are uncertain, especially about the future. However, it does seem clearer that October might be a tad cooler than normal (a break from all the above-normal temps this whole year). The latest long-range forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center came out yesterday:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/

    I’ve lived in the Northern Hemisphere all my life and so far it has gotten cooler every single Fall. I’ve heard from those much older than me that this has always been true as long as they’ve known. :)

    October 1, 2012 at 7:00 pm #952618
    mstone
    Participant

    @krazygl00 32631 wrote:

    I’ve lived in the Northern Hemisphere all my life and so far it has gotten cooler every single Fall. I’ve heard from those much older than me that this has always been true as long as they’ve known. :)

    then, sometimes (like last year), it warms up for winter

    October 2, 2012 at 2:09 pm #952650
    Terpfan
    Participant

    You spoke too soon, it’s like 80 and raining out. I almost biked in between rain gaps, but decided with my luck it would pour and it did pour. At the same time, the amount of time it took to take the bus made me think I would have preferred wet and on time to semi-wet and late.

    October 2, 2012 at 2:47 pm #952652
    ShawnoftheDread
    Participant

    @Terpfan 32668 wrote:

    You spoke too soon, it’s like 80 and raining out. I almost biked in between rain gaps, but decided with my luck it would pour and it did pour. At the same time, the amount of time it took to take the bus made me think I would have preferred wet and on time to semi-wet and late.

    I was almost successful in waiting for a gap, but I think I pedalled too fast and caught up with the rain. Oops. Legs and feet got soaked in DC, but that’s about it. It wasn’t that bad , especially considering how slowly the traffic was moving on the parkway.

    October 2, 2012 at 3:20 pm #952657
    mstone
    Participant

    road traffic completely melted down today. I guess it’s been a while since it’s rained, and people were confused about what that wet stuff was all over the place.

    October 2, 2012 at 3:26 pm #952658
    Greenbelt
    Participant

    @Terpfan 32668 wrote:

    You spoke too soon, it’s like 80 and raining out. I almost biked in between rain gaps, but decided with my luck it would pour and it did pour. At the same time, the amount of time it took to take the bus made me think I would have preferred wet and on time to semi-wet and late.

    Yeah, the cool spell is supposed to start on Sunday. Some 70s and 80s before then, though.

    October 2, 2012 at 4:05 pm #952661
    Certifried
    Participant

    @mstone 32675 wrote:

    road traffic completely melted down today. I guess it’s been a while since it’s rained, and people were confused about what that wet stuff was all over the place.

    I was super lucky today (knock on wood I don’t jinx my afternoon commute) and traffic on the inner loop was running smooth. Granted, I go in generally the opposite direction of the main rush, but there are a few spots where the inner loop can back up (Georgia Ave is typical). The traffic moved smoothly this morning because the heavy rain slowed everyone down. It’s amazing how much smoother the traffic runs when people are too scared to be overly aggressive.

    I think I’m one of the few who can say my drive around the beltway this morning was somewhat pleasant.

    October 22, 2012 at 1:58 pm #953944
    Greenbelt
    Participant

    Looks like amazing weather this week. Temps in the 70s and sun all week, hopefully right through the weekend.

    The forecast for a colder-than-normal October did not seem to pan out. Pretty close to normal weather this month, I’d say, maybe even a little warmer. It has certainly been great riding weather.

    At least one of the major computer models has been flirting with the idea of a major rain/wind storm mid next week (Halloween), sort of a combination hurricane and winter storm — we’ll see if that forecast is any better! (Probably not.)

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]1897[/ATTACH][ATTACH=CONFIG]1898[/ATTACH]

    October 22, 2012 at 2:09 pm #953954
    Certifried
    Participant

    I heard the rain/cold was coming in this Saturday sometime, possibly later evening, but they couldn’t be sure until it was closer to the weekend.

    October 24, 2012 at 7:10 pm #954177
    Greenbelt
    Participant

    Could have an amazing tailwind from the NNE on Monday morning. Afternoon commute home might suck.

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]1910[/ATTACH]

    Seriously, the weather models have been increasingly clustered on a bad storm in the general area next Monday and Tuesday. Enough for me to work out the telecommuting permissions and filling the generator. We’ll see!

    October 24, 2012 at 8:09 pm #954188
    TwoWheelsDC
    Participant

    My problem isn’t cold weather, it’s getting up when it’s dark out…in the summer, the sun does a pretty good job of waking me up and my alarm is secondary. But in fall/winter, I hit snooze almost unconsciously until about 7am when it finally starts to get light out, and by that time it’s too late for me to ride. Looking forward to moving and cutting my ride in half, as I think that will make a big difference.

    October 25, 2012 at 11:29 am #954208
    5555624
    Participant

    @TwoWheelsDC 34361 wrote:

    My problem isn’t cold weather, it’s getting up when it’s dark out…

    People get up after the sun is up? No wonder I never see anyone when I ride into work.

    October 25, 2012 at 7:50 pm #954288
    Greenbelt
    Participant

    Crud, the latest weather models are in more of a consensus that we’ll have really lousy weather next Monday and Tuesday. The European model has been very consistent with a track pretty much over Ocean City and DC and widespread tropical storm force winds and flooding rains. The main U.S. model and the Canadian model now seem like the have the storm hitting NYC area, but still very windy and rainy here on the storm’s back side (so to speak). If the Euro is right, we’ll have power outages and wind and rain damage, and maybe even storm surge in the bay and Potomac if the center goes a little more south. If the U.S model is right, we’ll still have nasty winds and cold windblown rain from the storm to our north.

    So, I’m doing everything I can to steer the storm away. The only thing that seems to work is overpreparation. Therefore, I took today off, filled the generator and gas cans, cleaned the gutters, got grill gas, and brought in firewood. That is usually sufficient to keep predicted storms safely out to sea…

    October 25, 2012 at 8:25 pm #954291
    TwoWheelsDC
    Participant

    @Greenbelt 34472 wrote:

    So, I’m doing everything I can to steer the storm away. The only thing that seems to work is overpreparation. Therefore, I took today off, filled the generator and gas cans, cleaned the gutters, got grill gas, and brought in firewood. That is usually sufficient to keep predicted storms safely out to sea…

    1999 called, they want their disaster preparation back…amirite?!?

    October 25, 2012 at 9:08 pm #954293
    Greenbelt
    Participant

    @TwoWheelsDC 34475 wrote:

    1999 called, they want their disaster preparation back…amirite?!?

    I single-handedly prevented the Y2K meltdown by stacking firewood.

    (Actually, I never understood the Y2K thing. So what if a bunch of old COBOL programs sent people the wrong bills or corporate reports got fouled up? I never understood the whole sky is falling thing on that one…)

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